More than twelve months after “the slap”, the 95th Academy Awards are almost upon us. The recent success of Parasite and Drive My Car appears to have opened the door for more international features to break through into the main categories, with Netflix’s All Quiet on the Western Front up for Best Picture, Best Director and seven further categories. The Daniels’ Everything Everywhere All at Once leads the way ahead of Sunday’s ceremony with 11 nods.
There were surprise nominations for British and Irish actors Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie) and Paul Mescal (Aftersun), and a number of notable omissions including Jordan Peele’s Nope, Park Chan-wook’s Decision to Leave and Brett Morgen’s Moonage Daydream.
Winning an Oscar is a bit like winning the lottery: even at this late stage, there are still plenty of categories with 2-3 possible winners. Here are our predictions ahead of the big night:
BEST PICTURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could win: All Quiet on the Western Front
BEST DIRECTOR
Todd Field, Tár
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Will win: Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could win: Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
Will win: Austin Butler, Elvis
Could win: Brendan Fraser, The Whale
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Will win: Cate Blanchett, Tár
Could win: Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Will win: Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could win: Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Will win: Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Could win: Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Triangle of Sadness
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could win: The Banshees of Inisherin
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
Will win: Women Talking
Could win: All Quiet on the Western Front
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE: All Quiet on the Western Front
ANIMATED FEATURE: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Navalny
ORIGINAL SCORE: All Quiet on the Western Front
ORIGINAL SONG: “Naatu Naatu” RRR
CINEMATOGRAPHY: All Quiet on the Western Front
COSTUME DESIGN: Elvis
FILM EDITING: Everything Everywhere All at Once
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Elvis
PRODUCTION DESIGN: Babylon
SOUND: Top Gun: Maverick
VISUAL EFFECTS: Avatar: The Way of Water
ANIMATED SHORT FILM: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM: Le Pupille
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT: Stranger at the Gate
The 95th Academy Awards ceremony take place on 12 March 2023 at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.
Daniel Green
